Thursday, May 7, 2026

The pitfalls of evaluating portfolio returns

Investing can really feel like a leap of religion. You choose a portfolio. You deposit cash.

Then, you wait.

Hassle is, it takes some time for compound development to do its factor. Utilizing the Rule of 72 and historic inventory returns, it takes roughly a decade for each greenback invested to double.

That’s a number of time for second-guessing. You might peek at your portfolio returns and marvel, “May I be doing higher?”

Don’t fear; it’s regular to query whether or not we’re making the appropriate decisions with our cash.

However evaluating completely different portfolios may be difficult. Variables abound. There’s the composition of the portfolios themselves, but in addition their charges and tax remedies.

So whether or not you’re sizing us up with rival cash managers, or with the inventory indexes you see most frequently within the information, we’re right here that will help you degree set.

The ABCs of apples-to-apples comparisons

Let’s begin with a statistic we’re fairly happy with:

Since launching in 2011, our 90% inventory Core Portfolio has delivered over 9.0% returns*.

These are the returns of actual Betterment clients, minus charges, and taking the timing of deposits and withdrawals out of the equation. This helps focus extra on the efficiency of the portfolio itself.

*As of 12/31/2024, and inception date 9/7/2011. Composite annual time-weighted returns: 12.7% over 1 yr, 7.9% over 5 years, and seven.8% over 10 years. Composite efficiency calculated based mostly on the dollar-weighted common of precise shopper time-weighted returns for the Core portfolio at 90/10 allocation, web of charges, consists of dividend reinvestment, and excludes the influence of money flows. Previous efficiency not assured, investing includes danger.

So, is 9.0% good? Nicely, it depends upon the comparability.

Inventory indexes just like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones dominate the information, however they’re hardly complete.

For one, they exclude bonds, a lower-yield staple of many portfolios. There’s a purpose why whatever the portfolio, we suggest holding a minimum of some bonds. They assist mood market volatility and protect treasured capital.

Secondly, common indexes additionally largely ignore worldwide markets. The S&P, for instance, usually represents lower than half the worth of all investable shares on the planet.

An animation of apple and orange coins balancing on a scale.

Our globally-diversified portfolios, in the meantime, unfold issues out in service of a smoother investing journey. We’re constructed for the long term, and historical past has proven that American and Worldwide belongings take turns outperforming one another each 10-15 years.

So the modest quantity of worldwide publicity in lots of our portfolios means this: you are in a greater place to revenue when the pendulum swings the opposite manner.

Now, taking all of this to coronary heart is not simple. Not when the S&P returns 20% in a given yr. At moments like these, it’s completely regular to really feel FOMO when trying on the returns of your globally-hedged investing. To maintain the religion, it helps to maintain the appropriate benchmark(s) in thoughts.

Not all diversification is created equal

We’re not alone in providing globally-diversified portfolios. However two portfolios, even with comparable stock-to-bond ratios, can take very completely different paths to the identical finish aim. Tax optimization, market timing, and fund charges can all influence your investing’s backside line as nicely.

Some buyers examine suppliers by investing a bit with every, ready just a few months, then evaluating the balances. This type of trialing, nevertheless, might not let you know a lot.

On the subject of our portfolios, you will discover higher comparisons in two specific ETFs that search to trace a large swath of the market: ACWI for shares and AGG for bonds. See how your Betterment portfolio stacks up towards them within the Efficiency part for any aim or account. Merely scroll all the way down to “Portfolio returns,” click on “Add comparability,” and choose from the accessible allocations of shares and bonds.

An illustration of Betterment's Portfolio returns user interface.

We present your “Complete return” by default at Betterment, in any other case referred to as the portfolio’s whole development for a given time interval. You may also see this expressed as an “Annualized” return, or the yearly development fee you usually see marketed with different investments.

Placing your efficiency in perspective

Comparability stands out as the thief of pleasure, nevertheless it’s okay, prudent even, to guage your investing returns every so often. A couple of times a yr is loads.

The secret is to avoid frequent pitfalls alongside the way in which. Like evaluating your globally-diversified apple to another person’s all-U.S. orange. Or cherry-picking a small pattern measurement as a substitute of an extended, more-reliable monitor report.

It’s simpler stated than carried out. That’s why we bake extra related comparisons proper into the Betterment app. It’s additionally why we produce content material like this. As a result of if there’s a silver lining to the gradual snowballing of compound development, it’s that you’ve loads of time to brush up on the fundamentals.


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